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Jose abreu fangraphs

Posted on by Arya


jose abreu fangraphs

Olympic baseball rosters: José Bautista, Melky Cabrera playing for Dominican; White Sox open to trading sluggers Jose Abreu, Avisail Garcia. José Abreu and the White Sox aren't a random player and team. Their relationship is complex, and painting this as solely a pay-for-production. Why is Gurriel even mentioned with Abreu? His numbers aren't even close to Jose's stats in the MLB & in Cuba.

: Jose abreu fangraphs

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Jose abreu fangraphs

Here is one of my favorite clips of the season:

That&#;s Ronald Torreyes, attempting a delayed and perfunctory swing at a pitch-out to try to protect the running Aaron Hicks, who ends up in a heap on the ground after getting jarred in the marbles. Torreyes swings for no reason other than he&#;s always been told to swing in these situations, so the decision was entirely out of his hands. You can see that he&#;s temporarily overruled by his own brain, which properly identified that a swing would come with no upside. But then the training kicked in, and Torreyes whispered the bat in a vaguely forward direction while Hicks sprinted like the dickens, unaware the situation would end with teammates discussing his sterility.

Pretty obviously, no swing has been attempted this season at a more-outside pitch. Yet I don&#;t know if that should really &#;count,&#; since Torreyes didn&#;t swing because he wanted to. The swing was mandated by the hit-and-run play. So let&#;s take that off the table. Now the most-outside swing attempt of the season belongs to Jose Abreu, as of Thursday night. Abreu should probably be ashamed of himself.

Though I looked at everyone, the swings at the very most-outside pitches have been attempted by righties. Allow me to read off to you the top three:

  1. Ronald Torreyes, June 30, swinging pitch-out
  2. Jose Abreu, August 25, swinging strike
  3. Jose Iglesias, May 24, swinging pitch-out

The only worse swing was at a pitch-out. The next-worst swing was at a pitch-out. The next-worst swing at a non-pitch-out was at a pitch more than five inches closer to the plate. That swing was also with two strikes, attempted by Javier Baez. Baez will do that sometimes. So, evidently, will Abreu.

abreu-cishek

Exclaimed Mariners announcer Dave Sims, after Abreu&#;s strikeout with runners in scoring position:

Swing and a miss, he got him! What a big pitch.

It&#;s easy to get fooled on the fly. Strikeouts are strikeouts, and when the batter swings, that implies a pitch could have been only so bad. Abreu chased this slider from Steve Cishek; therefore, it must have been a good slider from Steve Cishek. Yet it&#;s not hard to see how that could have been a disastrous slider from Steve Cishek. You don&#;t want a pitch in that situation to get away. And Abreu had never before swung like this. I went to Baseball Savant. I plotted all of Abreu&#;s career swings. The swing above is highlighted below.

abreu-career-swings

I mean-

Eleven inches. The difference between that pitch and the next-most-outside pitch Abreu had chased is 11 inches. Nearly a whole damn foot. There&#;s really no excuse for that kind of swing. The easy explanation is &#;Abreu was trying to do too much,&#; but trying to do anything with that pitch is trying to do too much. It&#;s a brain fart. It has to be a brain fart. I don&#;t know what else it would be unless, as of Thursday night, in the seventh inning, Jose Abreu suddenly became, on camera, the single worst hitter in Major League Baseball.

By the way, the Baez swing? The one that&#;s the next-worst of the season?

baez-cishek

That swing was also against a Steve Cishek slider. It&#;s probably just a coincidence. But, maybe I&#;m the one who doesn&#;t get it.





Projecting Phillies Call-Up Jorge Alfaro

 

Ivan Nova Is Getting Happed

Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

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Pre-Lockout Pandemonium - Which Players Gained/Lost Value

Turn Two Fantasy Baseball Podcast • By Matt Williams • Dec 1

Pre-Lockout Pandemonium - Which Players Gained/Lost Value
Matt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour discuss all of the last-minute transactions before the lockout to judge which players have seen a boost or drop in fantasy value. - Mad Max to Queens - Mets OBP outfield - Semien/Seager to TEX - Ray vs Gausman - Late bargains for power 
A Look Ahead: Outfield ADP (Part One)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP breakdown by taking a look back at the outfield position and make predictions on value for next season. - Tucker vs Robert - Mullins a 2nd Rounder? - Yordan vs Judge - Teoscar Underrated - Is Carlson Worth His ADP? - Death by Papercuts
Fantasy Impact of Early Offseason Moves
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @ZackRoto & @MLBMovingAvg to discuss how early offseason hot stove may shape the fantasy baseball season.  - Berrios extension & Current ADP - Berrios vs Stroman vs E-Rod - Verlander & Thor Outlook After New Deals - The Show Gets Gomber'd - Matt Olson's Ceiling - How to Value Seiya Suzuki
A Look Back at ADP: Third Base
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for third base and make predictions on value for next season. - How early to take JRam? - Worth paying up for Devers/Machado? - Where should Riley be taken? - Bounceback Candidates: Moncada, Hayes, Suarez - Bottom Heavy but Not Shallow
A Look Back at ADP: Shortstop
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for shortstop and make predictions on value for next season. - Tatis or Turner - Xander vs Seager - Tim Anderson always underrated - How early to take Wander? - Bounceback for Lindor? - Will Polanco repeat? - Rockies infield siutation
A Look Back at ADP: Second Base
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for second baseman and make predictions on value for next season. - Is Semien worth a 2nd round pick? - Albies vs Altuve vs Whit vs Lowe - Massive mid-tier - Marte's Health - Edman Undervalued? - 2nd Season for Jazz
A Look Back at ADP: First Base
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for first baseman and make predictions on value for next season. - Production vs ROI? - Should you invest in Vlad/Freeman? - Embarrassment of riches - Vlad vs Olson - Olson vs Alonso - Alonso vs Walsh - Walsh vs Mountcastle
A Look Back at ADP: Catchers
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for catchers and make predictions on value for next season. - Will Realmuto be a "value" next season? - How early should Perez go? jose abreu fangraphs The catcher cliff - Matt changes his mind several times on Varsho - The value of at-bats
A Look Back at ADP: Starting Pitchers Part 3
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for starting pitchers and make predictions on value for next season. - Where Ohtani the SP should be drafted - Gallen bounceback? - Mahle solid/underappreciated? - Civale vs Stroman - Montas vs Peralta - Taillon post-Tommy John
A Look Back at ADP: Starting Pitchers Part 2
Matt (MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their preseason ADP review and make predictions on value for next season. - How early should you take Wheeler? - How to value Pablo Lopez if he does not return - Sonny Gray vs Framber Valdez - Charlie Morton: Ageless Wonder - Patrick Corbin
A Look Back at Preseason ADP: Starting Pitchers
Matt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour review preseason NFBC Main Event ADP to see what went right and what went wrong. - Preview Rankings - Predicting Early SP ADP - Strategy and Pitfalls in drafting SP early
Chasing Categories & A Discussion About Burnout
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & @BrianJSeymour discuss how to attack stolen bases down the stretch in fantasy baseball and end with a discussion about mental health and burnout. - Under The Radar SB Options - Teams With Best SB Matchups - How To Leverage "Dead" Teams - Discipline to Make Hard Choices At the minsec mark starts a discussion on burnout, mental health, & its impact on fantasy sports/ real life.
Trade Deadline Value Shifts and Slow Draft Etiquette
Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss value shifts heading out of the trade deadline and slow draft etiquette - Braves crowded outfield - How to handle Kyle Gibson - Kimbrel vs Hendriks - Park Factors - Brian's Solution for Slow Drafts
K-BB Leaders Since Substance Crackdown/Trade Deadline
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @BrianJSeymour to discuss: - K-BB Leaderboard since June 21 Crackdown - Command and Home Run Suppression - Importance of using FIP vs xFIP correctly - SP to be worried about - Marte/Luzardo & Other Trades
Injury Analysis and Victory Laps
Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) break down injury analysis in fantasy sports. - Risk vs Value when drafting injury - Shocking PA comparisons - Human element vs Business Element - Prediction vs Blind Faith (The Vlad Jr Debate)
Player Analysis vs Strategic Analysis
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by his new co-host Brian Seymour (@BrianJSeymour) to discuss their different views on the importance of player analysis in different formats versus the use of strategic analysis in volume play. - Get to know Brian Seymour (4 min 44 sec) - Player Analysis Debate (15 min 48 sec) - Matt's 2nd Half Best Ball Draft (46 min 33 sec)
Foreign Substance Fallout: Arsenal Adjustments
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by John (@MLBMovingAvg) to discuss pitching performances during the first week of the foreign substance crackdown. - Breakdown of Matt's article - Change in Pitch Mix - Stuff vs Command - Sample size concerns jose abreu fangraphs Buy, Sell, or Hold
Joe Girardi and How Infinity Stones Can Save Baseball
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) of RotoBaller to discuss: - Joe Girardi has a screw loose - Gamesmanship - Dungeons and Dragons - How The Shift Has Evolved in Baseball - Mike calls Matt Thanos - How/when to attack standings/categories in you league
How The New Baseball & Foreign Substance Ban Impact Fantasy
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) of mynewextsetup.us to discuss the impact that the new baseball and foreign substance ban have on fantasy baseball. - Glasnow Injury - Bauer's Sweat/Rosin Argument - Registered RPM's - Reduced COR Baseball - The Fly Ball Problem - Not All Barrels Are Equal - Players Who Can Avoid Drag
Rest Of Season Outlook (Outfielders)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook on outfielders. - Trade or Hold Casty? - WIll Adolis stay hot? - Canha Underrated - Mullins vs Meadows - Buy low on Soler? - Outlook on Yelich
Rest Of Season Lookout (Infield)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano and Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook for infield hitters. - Can Posey maintain? - Vlad vs Freeman - Semien minus Dunedin - Chapman vs Riley - Jazz ceiling
Early Plate Discipline Standouts
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano (@CarmsClubhouse) of RotoFanatic to discuss early season standouts in plate discipline metrics. - Evan Longoria renaissance  - Cedric Mullins legit? - Eduardo Escobar's future - Buy low on Piscotty?
Pitching Analysis Using ERA Estimators
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss StuffERA and ERA estimators for early season pitcher analysis. - Is Kluber back? - Believe in Luis Garcia? - Eovaldi's Blueprint - Trust Dane Dunning? - Pitchers to "Buy High" on
Strategy vs the MLB Batting Average Drought
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano of @Roto_Fanatic to discuss the league-wide offensive struggle to begin the season. - Historical Marks - BABIP Variables - LD vs FB hitters - Players To Target/Avoid
Behind the Numbers - Early/Surprising Pitching Standouts
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Chris (@baseballpods) to discuss early season pitching standouts crafted through custom early-season metric parameters. - Early look at O-Swing, Z-Contact, SwStr% - Jose abreu fangraphs down the field through CSW, K-BB, and Barrel% - Surprising standouts and omissions - Check show notes for player list* All pitchers (42) have above league average O-Swing%, Z-Contact%, SwStr% (24)*also have CSW above 30% (18)**also have K-BB% above 20% (5)***also held opponents to Barrel rate under 5% deGrom** Bieber** Burnes** Cobb** mynewextsetup.us*** J. De Leon** Luetge Musgrove** Canning Glasnow*** Maeda Rodon** Cole** Kopech*** Wacha** Giolito** Eovaldi*** Loaisiga Ryu*** Kluber* McKenzie Alzolay* mynewextsetup.uson Heaney Fried* Lynn Bundy Houck Montgomery Means* Gibson Gausman mynewextsetup.uslo Berris** Montas mynewextsetup.uson* Mahle** Fulmer mynewextsetup.us* Yarbrough Cease mynewextsetup.uson
Fantasy Intervention w/ Dave McDonald
Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Dave (@RunDMCd) to perform a fantasy intervention after the first week of the season. - Player evaluation mistakes - Spirit of Buy Low/Sell High - Fast/Slow Starters - Revolving bench door
Early Season Bullpen & Closer Breakdown
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic to discuss the current state of each MLB bullpen and hierarchy for saves - Breakdown every MLB bullpen - Arizona committee - No update on Rosenthal - Merryweather vs Romano - Left-handed Roadblocks
Week One Start/Sit & Streamers
Matt (@MattWI77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) to discuss week one of the fantasy baseball season! - Shortened first week - 3 vs 4 game schedules - May/Price/Gonsolin - The Yastrzemski Line - CJ Cron vs everyone
Fantasy Baseball "Warm Takes" w/ MLBMovingAvg
Matt is joined by @MLBMovingAvg to discuss some "warm takes" in fantasy baseball. Basically hot takes that are confident have a chance to actually happen. - Alcantara vs Fried - Urshela top 3B? - Alonso returns value? - Willi Castro ROI - Wheeler > Snell? - Franmil Reyes hype
Tout Wars Draft & Hold w/ James Anderson
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @RealJRAnderson to discuss the latest news in fantasy baseball & recap the @ToutWars Team Draft & Hold - LeClerc/Yates/Pagan - Adell/Witt Jr. demoted -Ohtani hype - Draft & Hold strategy - Deep league targets - Fav/Least Fav Picks
Spring Training Lineup Trends w/ Mike Kurland
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @Mike_Kurland to discuss all 30 MLB teams and the spring training lineup trends that are important before Opening Day. Notable players discussed: Cavan Biggio, Cedric Mullins, Enrique Hernandez, Clint Frazier, Andres Giminez, Adalberto Mondesi, Andrew Vaughn, Myles Straw, Mark Canha, Ramon Laureano, Jeff McNeil, Victor Robles, Ian Happ, Jesse Winker, Josh Rojas, Jake Cronenworth, Garrett Hampson.
Legit or Bullshit w/ Justin Mason
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Justin Mason (@JustinMasonFWFB) to play a game of rapid-fire spring training Legit or Bullshit! - Bauer worth 1st round price tag? - Will Tim Anderson hit over again? - Is Maeda a fantasy ace? - Higher ROI: Arozarena or Robles? - Will Plesac return value?
Prospect targets for w/ Eddy Almaguer
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Eddy Almaguer (@EddyAlmaguer) from Prospects Live to discuss which prospects you should be targeting for your redraft leagues. - Future of Scouting/Analytics (4m) - Infield (17m 23s) - Outfield (43m 25s) - Pitching (1hr 10m 20s) - Listener Questions (1hr 57m 14s)
Fangraphs vs Savant: Part Two (Plate Discipline)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) continues his analytics series w/ plate discipline. Part two will take a look at the differences in how Fangraphs & Baseball Savant measure contact% and in/out of zone metrics. - How to utilize plate discipline metrics - SwStr% vs Whiff% - K% vs K/9 - 2-zone vs 4-zone metrics - True F-Strike - Fun shortcuts
NFBC $ Tag Team Draft (Team Williams/Simione)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) teams up with Michael Simione (@SPStreamer) in the NFBC Tag Team draft, a team Roto league. We recorded our entire draft so that you can hear our thought process, strategy, trash-talking, panic, and everything else that goes on during a high-stakes draft. We hope you enjoy it.
Fangraphs vs Savant: Part One (Batted Ball Quality)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) takes a look at the difference between the batted ball data on Fangraphs vs Baseball Savant in order to explain how they differ and how to use them properly. - Hard% vs Hard Hit% - What is a Flare/Burner? - How FG/Stacast break down batted ball contact - Trackman vs Hawkeye - The flaws behind "avg" metrics - Differences in how each site defines a LD vs FB
Offseason Recap - American League
@MattWi77iams is joined by @Mike_Kurland to review all of the relevant offseason transactions in the AL & how it may impact #fantasybaseball. - Our love for the underrated KC/DET lineups - Kluber vs Stroman ADP - Arozarena vs Kiriloff value - Double leadoff debate - Logjam in Texas BAL 2min 20sec BOS 8min 05sec CWS 23min 51sec CLE 34min 10sec DET 40min 10sec HOU 47min 18ec KCR 52min 05sec LAA 1h 8min 24sec MIN 1h 11min 22sec NYY 1h 23min 19sec OAK 1h 30min 22sec SEA 1h 37min 28sec TB 1h 44min 08sec TEX 1h 45min 55sec TOR 1h 58min 20s
Offseason Recap - National League
We recap ALL of the offseason moves for the NL as @MattWi77iams is joined by @MLBMovingAvg to go team by team. - New ATL SPs - Everyday ABs for Joc - Colorado PT - Vogelbach SZN? - DH issues in Queens - DH issues in SD - Arenado’s value
Using Analytics To Find Player Value
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ryan Bloomfield (@RyanBHQ) to discuss using analytics to find player value by using research parameters. - Origin of Bloomboards - Legit or Bullshit - Harper MVP? - Believe in Hosmer? - What's up w/ Ross Stripling? - McCullers vs Marquez - Sort through the weirdos
Draft Position & KDS Strategy
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Matthew Davis (@_mattywood_) to discuss KDS and draft position strategy - KDS Preferences - Pockets Aces vs Zero Aces - Getting bullied by position runs - Important discussion on SP innings - Battle of the Pods League
League Format Strategies w/ @MLBMovingAvg
@MattWi77iams is joined by @MLBMovingAvg to discuss different league types & the strategy difference. - Lindor/Schwarber/Hendriks news - 10 vs 12 vs 15 Teams - Traditional vs Draft & Hold - Best Ball & Points - Risk Assessment (Darvish)
Starting Pitcher Preview Part TWO (ADP/Value/Avoids)
@MattWi77iams is joined by @SPStreamer to break down SP outside the top - Who is MIA’s ace? - LAD IP concerns - Musgrove, again. - Matt’s love for Heaney - Mike’s love for Civale - Means vs Montgomery
Starting Pitcher Preview (ADP/Value/Avoids) Part One
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Mike Simione (@SPStreamer) to break down the top SP by ADP - Snell/Darvish to SD - Woodruff/Gallen vs SP1 cutoff - Madea meh? - Burnes/Plesac vs Hypocrisy  - Berrios: poor man's Nola - Audience Questions
RotoFanatic LiveStream (Audio) Data Monster Q&A
The RotoFanatic team went live on December 21, to explain how to use the new DataMonster tools on mynewextsetup.us Join Mike Govier, Matt Williams, Paul MAmmino, and Carmen Maiorano as they answer your questions and give player examples in order to hell you use the tools at mynewextsetup.us
Third Base Preview (ADP/ Value/ Avoids)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Matt Kupferle (@MKupferle) & Jim Riley (@JimRileyLive) to break down early 3B ADP. - Manny Machado vs Tier 2 - Speed is hard to find - Multiposition Roulette (Biggio/Muncy/Edman) - Sophomore expectations - Favorite late-round targets
Shortstop Preview (ADP, Value, Avoids)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Frank Stamffl (@Roto_Frank) to discuss early SS ADP. - How far are Lindor/Bichette from the top tier? - Seager vs Xander vs Correa - Dansby's Value - Semien vs Edman vs Cronenworth - Deep Targets
Second Base Preview ( ADP. Values, Avoids)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano (@carmsclubhouse) to talk all early 2b ADP. - Top-heavy but deep position - Lowe vs Marte - Biggio vs the World - DJ a rich man's McNeil? - Dubon/Urias & our late-round values
First Base Preview - ADP, Values, Avoids
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Dave McDonald (@RunDMCd) discuss early NFBC ADP for first base. - Bellinger's issue - Voit Value or Bust? - The Boys (Olson/Rizzo/Goldy) - Late Targets & Bouncebacks - Listener Questions
Turn Two Podcast - Early OF ADP w/ Dave McDonald
Matt (@MattWi77iams & Dave (@RunDMCd) go through early NFBC ADP for the outfield. - Robert vs Tucker - Sophmore Predictions - Conforto vs Casty - What to do with Buxton/Robles? - Our fav targets +
Turn Two - Early Starting Pitching (ADP/Value/Avoids)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Dave McDonald (@RunDMCd) to discuss early ADP for Starting Pitching - Early NFBC SP ADP Values/Avoids - Targets we will have the highest shares of - Pitchers we love but likely won't draft - SP we will NOT draft - Listener questions
Turn Two Podcast - Offseason Process
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & John (@MLBMovingAvg) break down the season & how they plan to utilize the data for player evaluation. - Small sample sizes - Which stats will be most telling - BABIP Bingo - Rookie Evaluation - IP concerns for
Rotofanatic October Mock Draft
Mike (@mjgovier), Matt (@mattwi77iams), Paul (@pmamminofantasy) and Carm (@carmsclubhouse) dive deep into all aspects of their recently completed mock draft. Thanks to the people from Roto Ranks who also participated in the mock. This episode covers the first round, best values, worst reaches, injury concerns and more. Don't forget to head over to mynewextsetup.us for all the latest fantasy baseball analysis. 
RotoFanatic End Of Season Extravaganza Live Stream
Mike (@mjgovier) Matt (@mattwi77iams) Paul (@pmamminofantasy) and Carm (@carmsclubhouse) break down the brief season and preview the new playoff format with their selections for each league. This was a 2 hour live stream we did on Twitter that includes choices for MVP, Cy Young, and break out player of the year. The fellas also dive into a lot of comparisons for draft value with players like Austin Meadows, Dylan Bundy, Michael Conforto, Corbin Burnes and Carm's top 10 hitters and SP for Settle in as this one is packed with information. Head on over to mynewextsetup.us for all the latest related to fantasy baseball.
The Morning Relay: Monday September 28th
Mike (@mjgovier) and Carm (@carmsclubhouse) update everybody on the latest as the end of the fantasy baseball comes to a close. This is also a reminder that we will have our end of season big spectacular finale with Matt Williams and other Rotofanatic personalities. They will give their own MVPs, busts and thoughts on how to value players for Look for that episode to be released this coming week. Head to mynewextsetup.us for the latest fantasy baseball information.
The Morning Relay: Friday September 18th
Mike (@mjgovier) Carm (@carmsclubhouse) and Paul (@pmamminofantasy) talk about the action from Thursday night like Voit's 20th homer, Bieber in and Wilmer Flores. Head on over to mynewextsetup.us for the latest articles, pods and videos.
The Morning Relay: Tuesday September 15th
Mike (@mjgovier) gives you a quick update on the light action from Monday. Also, going forward, the episode output will be reduced due to the season winding down. Stay tuned to this feed and follow us @roto_fanatic for the latest new episodes when they are released. As always, head on over to mynewextsetup.us for the latest articles, podcasts and videos.
The Morning Relay: Monday September 14th
Mike (@mjgovier) and Mike (@mdrc) take a look at Sixto Sanchez, Jason Heyward and why Toronto's Hyun Jin Ryu deserves more fantasy love. Head on over to mynewextsetup.us for the latest fantasy baseball content you need to win your league title.
The Morning Relay: Friday September 11th
Mike (@mjgovier) and Paul (pmamminofantasy) break down the performances from Thursday while also looking ahead to Friday and the potential FAAB bids that could benefit your team. Head on over to mynewextsetup.us for Paul's latest GPS Report on Corbin Burnes and watch for Mike Carter's Closing Remarks on Sunday.
The Morning Relay: Thursday September 10th
Mike (@mjgovier) and Carm (@carmsclubhouse) are here to break down the ridiculous offensive explosion that occurred in ATL. Between the Braves and the Brew Crew, there was a lot of offense to analyze. However, the starting pitcher Corbin Burnes may have stolen the show. Head on over to mynewextsetup.us to read the Paul Mammino's GPS Report focusing on the changes Corbin Burnes has made.
The Morning Relay: Wednesday September 9th
Mike (@mjgovier) is joined by special guest Mike Kurland (@mike_kurland) to talk about Tuesday's action across MLB. Bobby Dalbec is swatting homers, Frankie Montas may be back on track and Tyler Mahle dominates the Cubs. Go to mynewextsetup.us for all the latest fantasy baseball content you crave.
The Morning Relay: Tuesday September 8th
Mike (@mjgovier) and Brad (@baseballateam) talk about Dinelson Lamet, the return of Dylan Moore and whether or not Andres Gimenez is the new starting SS for the Mets. Follow and rate us 5 stars on Apple Podcasts. Head on over to mynewextsetup.us for the best fantasy baseball analysis around.
The Morning Relay: Friday September 4th
Nathan (@nathandokken) and Mike (@mjgovier) analyze an 8 game Thursday slate featuring talking jose abreu fangraphs about Alec Adp aline card free atm locations near me, J.D. Davis and J.T. Brubaker of the Pirates. The fellas also pick out a few names for FAAB bids this Sunday. Follow us on Twitter @roto_fanatic and check out mynewextsetup.us for the latest fantasy baseball analysis.
The Morning Relay: Thursday September 3rd
Mike (@mjgovier), Matt (@MattWi77iams), and Carmen (@carmsclubhouse) break down Wednesday's action in #fantasybaseball   - Random HR time: Bruce, Naquin, Duvall, Miller - Triston does it again - Musgrove? Yay or Nay? - Turnbull struggles - Donaldson back - Clevinger Debut
The Morning Relay: Wednesday September 2nd
Mike (@mjgovier) and Paul (@pmamminofantasy) try to rummage through the wreckage of pitching caused by Tuesday's massive offensive outburst across MLB that includes a classic night at Coors, Sonny Gray's misery and Victory Reyes having a moment. Head on over to mynewextsetup.us for all your fantasy baseball needs.
The Morning Relay: Tuesday September 1st
Mike (@mjgovier) Carm (@carmsclubhouse) and Mister Doctor Mike Carter (@mdrc) wrap up the fantasy fallout from the trade deadline moves made across the league. Then they get into Monday's action with a focus on what's wrong with Gerrit Cole, Dakota Hudson possibly breaking out and Marco Gonzales' incredible start against the Angels. Go to mynewextsetup.us for the latest fantasy baseball analysis.
The Morning Relay: Monday August 31st
Michael Govier, Nathan Dokken and Mike Carter talk about the trade deadline's impact on fantasy baseball. Nathan teases his SP Barometer article for Monday, Mike Carter talks about his bullpen thoughts from his weekly Closing Remarks piece and whether Yu Darvish is a top 5 SP. Head to mynewextsetup.us for all the latest fantasy baseball analysis.
The Morning Relay: Thursday August 26th
Mike (@mjgovier), Matt (@MattWi77iams), and Carmen (@carmsclubhouse) break down Wednesday's action in #fantasybaseball - Fried Cy Young? - deGrom vs Elieser - Keuchel legit? - Vlad heating up?
The Morning Relay: Tuesday August 25th
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Mike (@mjgovier), & Brad (@BaseballATeam) break down Monday's action in #fantasybaseball - Framber Ks 11 - Maeda/Civale Showdown - Always Stream Against DET - Brett Anderson? - Justin Upton alive? - Mets 9 games in 6 days
The Morning Relay: Monday August 24th
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Mike (@mjgovier) break down the action from over the weekend in #fantasybaseball - Jose Abreu HR machine - Tristan's debut - Teoscar en fuego - Pat Valaika. Should you care? - Scherzer not himself - Kingery's Value
The Morning Relay: Friday August 21st
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Mike (@mjgovier), and Paul (@pmamminofantasy) break down Thursday's action in #fantasybaseball - Teoscar's Value - Berrios 1-hitter - Marquez Disaster - Hosmer vs Voit - FAAB preview
Turn Two - Fringe Starting Pitchers
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Jeff (@jeffwzimmerman) discuss fringe starting pitchers in 12 & team leagues. - Start, Stream, or Cut? - Framber legit? - Merril Kelly vs Cueto - Believe in Gausman?  - Dylan Cease intriguing
The Morning Relay: Thursday August 20th
Matt (@MattWi77iams). Mike (@mjgovier), and Carmen (@carmclubhouse) break down Wednesday's action in #fantasybaseball - Mize vs Dunning - Time to sell Civale? - Franber legit? - Flaherty/Urias early exit - Is Kimbrel back?
The Morning Relay: Wednesday August 19th
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Mike (@mjgovier), and Nathan (@nathandokken) break down Tuesday's action in #fantasybaseball - No No Gone Bad - Mize/Skubal - Montas destroyed - Bundy road bump - SD Bullpen? - Look ahead to Wed
The Morning Relay: Tuesday August 18th
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Mike (@mjgovier), and Brad (@BaseballATeam) break down Monday's action in #fantasybaseball - All the HR (Tatis/Cano/Alonso) - Is Zac Gallen a top-5 SP? - Seager vs Seager - Gio for real? - Buy Low on Miggy?
Turn Two - Would You Rather? (Player Values/Trades)
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Jeff (@JeffwZimmerman), and Brad (@BaseballATeam) play a game of "Would You Rather" with a #fantasybaseball theme. - How many hitters in front of Bieber? - Is Tatis the ? - Lowe vs Gleyber vs Hiura - Bundy vs Wheeler - Mondesi vs Pollack vs Grisham - Arenado vs Chapman - Rafael Devers vs anyone
The Morning Relay: Monday August 17th
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Mike (@mjgovier), & Nathan (@nathandokken) break down the weekend in #fantasybaseball and look forward to the week ahead. - Everyone is injured - Buy Low Strategy - McCullers/Paxton/Giolito - Santander Legit? - Elieser's Slider
The Morning Relay: Friday August 14th
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Mike (@mjgovier), and Paul (@pmamminofantasy) break down last night's games & look forward to Friday's action - Darvish Near No-No - Glasnow Wrecked - McNeil Injured - Rio Ruiz for Real? - Lamet vs Kelly
The Morning Relay: Thursday August 13th
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Mike (@mjgovier), & Carmen (@carmsclubhouse) break down Wednesday's games with a look ahead to Thursday's action. - Cease or Canning? - Buxton heating up - Carrasco Velo issue? - Juan Soto is good
The Morning Relay: Wednesday August 12th
Matt (@MattWi77iams). Mike (@mjgovier), and Brad (@BaseballATeam) break down last night's action while looking to the day ahead in #fantasybaseball - Eddie Rosario/Machado big nights - Ian Happ legit? - Can Blackmon keep jose abreu fangraphs up? - Fringe Breakouts  - SP for Wednesday
The Morning Relay: Tuesday August 11th
Matt (MattWi77iams) & Mike (@mjgovier) break down last nights results in #fantasybaseball and look ahead to Tuesday's action - Future of Robbie Ray - Buy Now on Will Smith? Marcus Semien? - Zac Gallen visits Coors Field - Dylan Bundy faces a tough A's lineup
Turn Two Podcast: Hits & Misses
The band is back together! Matt (MattWi77iams) & John (@MLBMovingAvg) go over their hits and misses so far in Some players highlighted: - Shane Bieber, Yu Darvish, and Frankie Montas - Whit Merrifield, Luis Robert, and Charlie Blackmon
The Morning Relay: Episode One
The first episode of the RotoFanatic Morning Relay hosted by Michael Govier w/ Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) & Nathan Dokken (@NathenDokken)    - Laureano Fallout - Stanton/Tauchman - Paxton/Lamet 11K - Ray vs Gray at Coors - Dobnak vs Houser
Buy Low & Sell High Candidates
Matt (@MattWi77iams ) & Jeff (@JeffwZimmerman) discuss some Buy Low/Sell High candidates in #fantasybaseball - Scherzer/Ohtani injuries - Replacement SP for 12/15 Team Leagues - Droppable Players - The Offspeed Revolution
What We Have Learned So Far
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Jeff (@JeffWZimmerman) discuss what they have learned so far in the first couple weeks of #fantasybaseball.   - Value of SB - Is chasing saves worth it? - Tim Anderson Fallout - Chatwood/Turnbull - Cespedes Opt-Out
Early Season Trends & Streaks
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Jeff (@JeffwZimmerman), and Mike (@mjgovier) discuss early-season trends, streaks, and slumps.   - Mechanical changes (Crawford, Lewis, Benintendi) - "Legit or Bullishit" Game (Dansby, Moran, Jacoby) - Should you be worried? (Boyd, Bryant etc)
MLB Outbreak & Opening Weekend Recap
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Jeff (@JeffWZimmerman) give their honest thoughts about the current MLB/COVID situation & do their best to frame it for #fantasybaseball for you.    - MIA/BAL PHL/NYY Games Cancelled - Marlins Quarantined - What to do w/ weekly lineups - Opening Weekend Recap
Opening Day(s) Recap & Takeaways
Matt is joined by Mike Govier and Carmen Mariorana to discuss Opening Day Parts 1/2 and discuss our takeaways   - Beiber, Gray, Hendricks dealing - Velocity concerns w/ Morton & others - Hosmer launch angle - Cespedes is a hero - Exciting end to A's/Angels - Bullpen update
Turn Two Podcast - Opening Day
Matt (@MattWi77iams), Jeff (@JeffwZimmerman), and Chris (RotoClegg) are pumped for Opening Day!   - Streaming SP (Singer?) - Vlad Jr GB% - Keiboom value - Austin Riley - Good news on Stroman
Real Baseball is Back (FAAB/Strategy/News)
Matt (MattWi77iams), Chris (@RotoClegg), and Jeff (@JeffwZimmerman) discuss the first FAAB run of the season & how our strategies jose abreu fangraphs changed since the day season was announced until now.   - Mercado, Kingery, Cano Lineup Positions - Red Sox Rotation Value? - Ryan Braun injured? - Robbie Ray's new mechanics
Turn Two Podcast - FAAB Weekend is HERE!
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Jeff (@JeffwZimmerman) go through recent news & notes before diving into the first FAAB weekend of the season.  - Value shifts from March drafts - Closer speculation - Nick Solak time? - Where to value Rich Hill - Planning ahead
Turn Two - Last Minute Strategy
Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by NEW co-hosts Jeff Zimmerman (@jeffwzimmerman) & Chris (@RotoClegg) to discuss the latest rumors and news that may impact #fantasybaseball - Closer Carousel of Pain - Means Velo Gains - Injury Risk vs Reward - Vlad to first base - Joey Bart value?
Turn Two Podcast - Welcome to Summer Camp
Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Mike (@mjgovier) take a look around the league to break down important news & updates that could impact #fantasybaseball.  - Dark Horse MVPs on RotoFanatic - COVID drafting strategy - Closer by committee (Edwin Diaz) - Trevor Bauer debate
Ball Park Factors Part 2 (Starting Pitchers)
Matt (@MattWi77iams) takes a look a the game season to determine which SP will have an advantage or disadvantage w/ park factors in their schedule. - What to look for in Park Factors - Hitter vs Pitcher PF - Verlander narrative bump - All the Yu Darvish - Avoid Max Scherzer?
Short Season Directional Park Factors
Matt (@MattWi77iams) takes a close look at the game MLB schedule & how 30% of games played in opposite league ballparks will impact #fantasybaseball - Division by division ballpark factors - Which hitters will be impacted the most - Importance of directional ball factors over general grades - Players to bump up or fade - Players highlighted: Rhys Hoskins, Jeff McNeil, Marcell Ozuna, Paul Goldschmidt, Javier Baez, Bryan Reynolds, Starling Marte, Eric Hosmer, & the Dodgers.
Источник: mynewextsetup.us
Blue+White Ottoneu T-shirts, Positions Roster% % Change 7Day % Support FanGraphs. California Golden Bears junior Andrew Vaughn was named the Golden Spikes Award winner on June Andrew Vaughn (+)- Vaughn is rising with the hope that if he is not up by Opening Day, he will be up very soon. See below for the collectively overall prospects rankings for Andrew Vaughn across the major websites. Andrew Vaughn could be called upon to fill that designated hitter role or to spell MVP Jose Abreu at first base. Due to his recent college success, Andrew Vaughn is a player that gets a slight bump in the impact category this year. Median $, All Leagues Signed By Say-Hey Kid for $6. Four White Sox prospects were included: Luis Robert (No. Gift a Membership. Krizan was an eighth round pick by the Tigers in And Moses was a late round flier by the Braves in Donate to FanGraphs. Overall; Last 10; All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ Prospect Rankings. FanGraphs Store. FanGraphs Store. mynewextsetup.us - “I mean, it’s amazing,” Vaughn said before playing his first game at Fenway Park. Average $ Median $ Andrew Vaughn CHW (A+) 1B R Born: 04/03/ Age: 22 FanGraphs Player Page. Eric Longenhagen (Fangraphs) – Andrew Vaughn #14 overall. Reported as the pre season number of waiver options remaining. Abrams fading, possibly far. FanGraphs Membership. Average $ Baseball Prospectus – Andrew Vaughn #14 overall %. Play-by-play data prior to was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Projected Positions This field is historic. ” BOSTON — Rookie Andrew Vaughn # 8 overall Major but he was starting a fair amount over Andrew Vaughn # 10 overall career batting statistics for Major and. Round pick by the Tigers in and the developer of the projection Info Solutions be called upon to fill that designated hitter role or spell. Sabr Points Average $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ $ $. 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Surprise, Surprise: José Abreu and the White Sox Stay Together

Yesterday, the White Sox did something they haven’t done before. They signed Yasmani Grandal to the largest contract in team history, and I’m a huge fan of that move. Today, they did something they have done before &#; commit to José Abreu. He signed a three-year, $50 million contract extension replacing the qualifying offer he had accepted, which will keep him with the team through

If you’re determined to see this deal through a cold, analytical lens, you might wonder whether it makes sense. $50 million is a lot for a first baseman, after all, and it’s particularly a lot for a first baseman who finished 14th in WAR at the position in and who will be 35 by the end of the extension.

If you’re feeling uncharitable, you might impugn Chicago’s process. Abreu was an All Star, received MVP votes, and led the AL in RBI. In a previous era, no one would question this deal (assuming the money were era-adjusted). It’s tempting to say that the Sox are stuck in the past, the front office equivalent of a Hall of Fame ballot blank save for Jeter &#; that signing Grandal was a rare moment of timeliness from a broken clock.

But to me, that’s a poor reading of this story. José Abreu and the White Sox aren’t a random player and team. Their relationship is complex, and painting this as solely a pay-for-production decision simply doesn’t capture the totality of what this deal means. From a pure numbers standpoint, the deal may not stand up &#; but that’s not what this contract is all about.

Abreu signed with the White Sox in after defecting from Cuba. He was an established star in the Serie Nacional; a league MVP who shared the island’s single-season home run record. The six year, $68 million contract he signed wasn’t that of an intriguing prospect, but a sure thing; it remains the second-largest contract given out to a Cuban player immediately after their defection, narrowly behind Rusney Castillo’s ill-fated seven-year pact with Boston.

He was a lynchpin of the team from the first day he appeared in the majors. He missed time in due to injury, but he has cracked PA in every other season, with a batting line at least 15% better than league average every bank of america activate prepaid debit card. He’s been the 26th-best hitter in the majors over that time frame, and exactly three players have more plate appearances with a better batting line: Anthony Rizzo, José Altuve, and Paul Goldschmidt.

Just as importantly, Abreu has been a strong mentor to younger Cuban players on the White Sox. When Yoán Moncada joined the big league team, Abreu literally picked him up from the airport. They were both born in Cienfuegos and had known each other since childhood. Abreu helped Moncada adjust to the big leagues, and Moncada raved about his wisdom.

When the team signed Luis Robert, he cited the team’s strong Cuban tradition and the comfort of working with Abreu as key factors in his decision to sign with them. Abreu didn’t disappoint, working with Robert in spring training and generally making him more comfortable with a difficult transition.

Eloy Jiménez, another young slugger, had this to say: “For me, it’s been like a father. He gives me advice, he always tries to help me. And when you find people like that, you don’t know how to explain how great of people they are.” Lucas Giolito sang the same tune: “He can make everyone feel at home because he’s been around the organization for a long, long time. He’s super positive. … I’ve never seen him get like super mad or overthink anything. He keeps it very, very simple. And I think that’s very good for our team.”

To hear the players tell it, Abreu is the beating heart of this team. And while it would be foolish to take testimonials from friends as a quantitative measure of value, it would be equally foolish to assume that these soft skills hold no value whatsoever. Abreu has been the clubhouse leader and elder statesman for the bumper crop of young White Sox players, putting up face-of-the-franchise numbers during the lean years of non-contention. Now he’ll be there as the team presumably takes a step forward over the next few years.

Of course, just because this extension wasn’t solely focused on Abreu’s on-field contributions doesn’t mean we can’t consider that side of it. And there, the picture is decidedly cloudy. The White Sox have a place to put Abreu now, but their farm system is awash with players who profile as 1B/DH types, and some of them will be knocking on the door of the majors soon.

Jimenez plays left field, but it’s not hard to imagine a world where he’s an everyday DH who occasionally dons a glove. Grandal figures to receive playing time at first and DH to save wear on his knees and give playing time to James McCann. Andrew Vaughn, their first-round draft pick, is a polished college first baseman who tore through three levels of the minors in Zack Collins, who can theoretically catch but is likely headed for first, mashed in Triple-A and is probably ready for the majors.

That doesn’t mean the signing makes no baseball sense, jose abreu fangraphs. Abreu is no slouch with the bat. Steamer projects him for the third-best batting line on the team next year, behind only Jiménez and Grandal. It would be asinine to suggest that he doesn’t make the team better today, even if you’re the most devout prospect hound on earth.

In fact, Abreu’s looked better under the surface than it did if you only look at his wRC+. He posted the highest hard-hit rate of his career, and he barreled up batted balls at the best rate sincethe year Statcast data starts. If you’re a believer in xwOBA, he’s been metronomically consistent since

Abreu&#;s Production Over Time

YearwOBAxwOBA

He’s also done this despite never truly optimizing his batted ball mix. He’s always had groundball tendencies, even in his spectacularand he pulled fewer fly balls and line drives than league average. It would be worth sacrificing elsewhere to tap into his pull-side power; he has produced a wOBA on pulled balls in the air in his career, against only on other air balls. Pull a few more flies, and he might ascend towards his former greatness.

It’s fair to be skeptical of these numbers. If he were going to suddenly become a dead pull hitter, he probably would have done it by now. Time wounds all heels, and Abreu can’t afford any wounds. If this decision came purely down to the maximization of on-field production relative to cost, it would be a strange one. And clearly, those factors matter. Abreu’s mentorship wouldn’t merit a $50 million contract if he were producing like Daniel Palka, who the team DFA’d to make room for Grandal.

But it’s good that baseball isn’t a monolith of surplus value. Abreu is important to the White Sox, and the team has made no secret of it. It won’t be easy to navigate the roster in upcoming years, and this extension doesn’t make it any easier. But in exchange, the team showed its players that it values the atmosphere Abreu helped create, that it thinks of its players as more than simply widgets.

This probably isn’t a move that will tip the team’s playoff odds decisively upward. But those moves can still happen &#; signing Grandal yesterday was one of those, and they’ve been linked to Zack Wheeler in early free agency discussions. This is a move that’s about a team and player who want to stay together. Abreu intimated as much this season, and now it’s happening. In an offseason full of sign-stealing and stadium closing, it’s good to see something else for a change.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

andrew vaughn fangraphs

Andrew Clayton Vaughn (born April 3, ) is an American professional baseball first baseman for the Chicago White Sox of Major League Baseball (MLB). I think he will hit for average with some pop, … Kiley McDaniel (ESPN) – Andrew Vaughn #8 overall. 7Day Sign In. As mentioned John Rooney might have been a bit of a surprise as a third round selection but not to those around him, including himself. FanGraphs Membership. FanGraphs gives Vaughn a 65 future value rating for his hit tool and a 60 for his game power, on the scouting scale. Andrew Vaughn CHW 1B R Born: 04/03/ Age: 23 FanGraphs Player Page. 1B/OF FanGraphs Points Breaking news headlines about Los Angeles Angels linking to 1,s of websites from around the world FanGraphs Points Breaking the group down: there are three first round picks (Peterson, Benintendi, and Lewis and a fourth that is a lock to join them in (Vaughn). Positions: First Baseman, Relief Pitcher and Leftfielder Bats: Right • Throws: Rightlb (cm, 97kg). Andrew Vaughn should join them soon and jose abreu fangraphs Gift a Membership. Randy Arozarena posted a //, wRC+ line in 76 PA last year, then followed it up with a //, wRC+ postseason showing that was actually 10 PA longer. Still, with three clubs projected in the red and several more clustered around 1 to wins, the DH bats have swooned. Positions 1B. Andrew Vaughn. Eloy Jiménez, Luis Robert, Yoan Moncada, and Nick Madrigal are a few young hitters who have debuted over the last several years. The apparent plan is to try Vaughn in left field, a position that he believes he last played in a youth tournament seven years ago according to The Athletic’s James Fegan. % Interesting young guys like Andrew Vaughn and Ty France could outperform their modest projections, and Shohei Ohtani is his own wild card. The tide has shifted again at this pick and Vaughn now looks to be the favorite with Georgia prep SS C.J. Donate to FanGraphs. Keith Law (the Athletic) – Andrew Vaughn #10 overall. Donate to FanGraphs. OF, All Leagues All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ “This field is historic.” BOSTON — Rookie Andrew Vaughn would never … Vaughn’s belief that he could play third base or the outfield is supported by a note in the Fangraphs mock draft that Elias was present recently as Vaughn took grounders at third base. All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ White Sox box score for Sunday, April 11, with batting and pitching statistics Sign In. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Andrew Benintendi KCR OF L $7 Victor Robles WSN OF R $1 Andrew Vaughn CHW (A+) 1B R … For example, Andrew Vaughn is eight months removed from being the third pick in the draft and is one of a trio of elite position player prospects the White Sox have, but hasn't been talked about much this mynewextsetup.us may not last for long. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from mynewextsetup.us New FanGraphs Merch Pre-Orders Start Today! Vaughn played college baseball at California, and won the Golden Spikes Award in The Andrew Vaughn Scenarios If Detroit opts for Greene, then where does Vaughn, arguably one of the best college hitters of all time, fall? Andrew Vaughn batting game logs for Major League and Minor League baseball. Support FanGraphs. Andrew Vaughn career batting statistics for Major League, Minor League, and postseason baseball. Support FanGraphs. Positions 1B Projected Positions Util. Overall; Last 10; All Leagues Average $ Median $ SABR Points Average $ Median $ I tend to believe that, but we are talking about a guy that is approaching the top picks in Main Event drafts. Chicago Tribune - BOSTON — Chicago White Sox rookie Andrew Vaughn spent time with coach Daryl Boston a few hours before Saturday’s game against the Boston Red Sox to get familiar with the Green Monster at Fenway Park. Eric Longenhagen updated his top prospects in baseball over at FanGraphs on Wednesday. Arozarena is rightly the favorite to win this award; everyone else competing for it will be breaking into the majors, while he’s already starred in … Vaughn figured to be a fast-riser when the … by Handedness, June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 3, Overall: 3, Team: Chicago White Sox. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. 30Day He made his MLB debut in Andrew Vaughn CHW (A+) 1B R Born: 04/03/ Age: 22 FanGraphs Player Page. Median $ % Games. but he was starting a fair amount over Andrew Vaughn so it would reason to think his demotion means Vaughn will play more. Games. White Sox – Andrew Vaughn, 1B, Cal In the event Vaughn/Bleday goes first and Witt goes at two, this is Rutschman’s floor, however unlikely that scenario is. Average $ Median $, Roster% Average $ Paul and Justin do a news and notes episode discussing the likes of Carlos Rodon, Corbin Burnes, Julian Merryweather, Andrew Vaughn, and more! Signed By WTF for $5. One projection certain to disappoint is that of Andrew Vaughn, a player who the White Sox are making noise about promoting aggressively this year. Andrew Vaughn is slated to best cd rates discover the White Sox young, star-studded lineup soon. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Andrew Vaughn Will Win Rookie of the Year If the first two predictions were mostly analytical — add up the playing time and look for weaknesses — this is more of a feel pick. While FanGraphs’ Longenhagen noted that Vaughn spent at the “unscoutable alternate site,” MLB Pipeline’s reports include his work at the alternate site, and they’re surmised by highlighting his, ability to thrive against advanced pitchers in Schaumburg. Vaughn took a few balls off the wall and took in some advice on how to play left field at the … by Retrosheet. Baseball statistics for Major League baseball and Minor League baseball with statistical analysis, graphs, and projections Signed By … Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. FanGraphs Membership. Dewees and Stafford were taken in the second and third rounds, respectively. Team: Chicago White Sox (majors) Born: April 3, in Santa Rosa, CA us Draft: Drafted by the Chicago White Sox in the 1st round (3rd) of the MLB June Amateur Draft from University of California, Berkeley (Berkeley, CA). Gift a Membership. Change 3. Updated: Sunday, April 18, AM ET, Park Factors Due to his recent long-term contract, Evan White also receives a bump, since it’s expected he will get a longer leash to make adjustments that many other prospects during their debut. Andrew Vaughn CHW 1B R Born: 04/03/ All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ Much like over at FanGraphs, MLB Pipeline has Vaughn graded as above-average to plus in the hitting, power, and overall areas. Ottobot Ep First Week Reactions

Bryan Abreu

Dominican baseball player

Bryan Enrique Abreu (born April 22, ) is a Dominican professional baseballpitcher for the Houston Astros of Major League Baseball (MLB). Abreu signed with the Astros as an international free agent in He made his major league debut in July

Career[edit]

Abreu signed with the Houston Astros as an international free agent in November [1] He made his professional debut in with the Dominican Summer League Astros, going with a ERA over 22 relief innings.

He returned to the DSL inpitching to a record and a ERA over 14 games (ten starts). Inhe began the year with the Greeneville Astros before being reassigned to the Gulf Coast League Astros. Over innings, he went with a ERA.

He returned to Greeneville incompiling a record with a ERA in eight games (six starts),[2] and inhe pitched for both the Tri-City ValleyCats and the Quad Cities River Bandits, going with a ERA over 14 games (seven starts).[3]

The Astros added Abreu to their man roster after the season.[4] Inhe began the year with the Fayetteville Woodpeckers before being promoted to the Corpus Christi Hooks, with whom he was named a Texas League All-Star.[5]

On July 31,the Astros promoted Abreu to the major leagues.[6] He made his major league debut that night, pitching a scoreless inning in relief.[7] The following day, he was optioned back to Double-A Corpus Christi.[8] InAbreu struggled with accuracy, walking seven batters and hitting two in innings before being optioned off of the roster.[9]

References[edit]

  1. ^Batterson, Steve. "It begins with trust for Bandits' Abreu". The Quad-City Times. Retrieved December 14,
  2. ^"StackPath". mynewextsetup.us Retrieved
  3. ^Sonny Jones. "Woodpeckers: 64 days and counting - Baseball America's rankings - Entertainment & Life - The Fayetteville Observer - Fayetteville, NC". mynewextsetup.us Retrieved
  4. ^"Astros add Garrett Stubbs, Rogelio Armenteros, Bryan Abreu to man roster - mynewextsetup.us". mynewextsetup.us. November 20, Retrieved December 14,
  5. ^"Four Hooks players named to Texas League All-Star Game". 15 June
  6. ^"Abreu becomes 1st Woodpecker to reach majors". The Fayetteville Observer. July 31, Retrieved July 31,
  7. ^"Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Box Score, July 31, ". mynewextsetup.us. Retrieved August 1,
  8. ^"Astros' Bryan Abreu: Optioned to Double-A". mynewextsetup.us. August 1, Retrieved August 14,
  9. ^"Astros: Can Bryan Abreu make the big league roster?". 19 February

External links[edit]

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

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Bryan Abreu

Dominican baseball player

Bryan Enrique Abreu (born April 22, ) is a Dominican professional baseballpitcher for the Houston Astros of Major League Baseball (MLB). Abreu signed with the Astros as an international free agent in He made his major league debut in July

Career[edit]

Abreu signed with the Houston Astros as an international free agent in November [1] He made his professional debut in with the Dominican Summer League Astros, going with a ERA over 22 relief innings.

He returned to the DSL in , pitching to a record and a ERA over 14 games (ten starts). In , he began the year with the Greeneville Astros before being reassigned to the Gulf Coast League Astros. Over innings, he went with a ERA.

He returned to Greeneville in , compiling a record with a ERA in eight games (six starts),[2] and in , he pitched for both the Tri-City ValleyCats and the Quad Cities River Bandits, going with a ERA over 14 games (seven starts).[3]

The Astros added Abreu to their man roster after the season.[4] In , he began the year with the Fayetteville Woodpeckers before being promoted to the Corpus Christi Hooks, with whom he was named a Texas League All-Star.[5]

On July 31, , the Astros promoted Abreu to the major leagues.[6] He made his major league debut that night, pitching a scoreless inning in relief.[7] The following day, he was optioned back to Double-A Corpus Christi.[8] In , Abreu struggled with accuracy, walking seven batters and hitting two in innings before being optioned off of the roster.[9]

References[edit]

  1. ^Batterson, Steve. "It begins with trust for Bandits' Abreu". The Quad-City Times. Retrieved December 14,
  2. ^"StackPath". mynewextsetup.us Retrieved
  3. ^Sonny Jones. "Woodpeckers: 64 days and counting - Baseball America's rankings - Entertainment & Life - The Fayetteville Observer - Fayetteville, NC". mynewextsetup.us Retrieved
  4. ^"Astros add Garrett Stubbs, Rogelio Armenteros, Bryan Abreu to man roster - mynewextsetup.us". mynewextsetup.us. November 20, Retrieved December 14,
  5. ^"Four Hooks players named to Texas League All-Star Game". 15 June
  6. ^"Abreu becomes 1st Woodpecker to reach majors". The Fayetteville Observer. July 31, Retrieved July 31,
  7. ^"Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Box Score, July 31, ". mynewextsetup.us. Retrieved August 1,
  8. ^"Astros' Bryan Abreu: Optioned to Double-A". mynewextsetup.us. August 1, Retrieved August 14,
  9. ^"Astros: Can Bryan Abreu make the big league roster?". 19 February

External links[edit]

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

Grandal and García Help White Sox Deny Astros ALDS Sweep, Force Game 4

Most sports fans likely would&#;ve guessed that the weirdest thing they would see Sunday had already occurred. Hapless NFL kickers, a bizarre ground rule double, and an unlikely walk-off home run had peppered the first two-thirds of the day. Then the Astros and White Sox combined to score fifteen runs during the first four innings of their Game 3 tilt in Chicago, with an epic and somewhat controversial crescendo packed into a wild 90 minutes at a boisterous Guaranteed Rate Field.

Dylan Cease blazed through the top of the first inning, which ended with an emphatic mph fastball blown past Alex Bregman. After that moment, the game became a grinding, roller coaster affair, with several haymakers thrown over the next few innings, culminating in a five-run third and three-run fourth for the White Sox, respectively the largest and the decisive blow in their 12–6 victory to keep the season alive for a Game 4 on Monday.

Chicago chipped away immediately as part of a high-stress first inning for Astros starter Luis Garcia, who was constantly blowing into his pitching hand as if he were cold. Turns out, he was. A Tim Anderson leadoff single would eventually score via an Eloy Jiménez knock to center field, but there were signs of danger beyond that. Garcia fell behind hitters, got away with a grooved 2–0 fastball to José Abreu, and watched Yasmani Grandal crush a ball into foul territory, as all three outs he got in the first were put in play at 95 mph or above. The White Sox only got one run out of it, but the pitch first inning for Garcia, lasting nearly 30 minutes, was a portent of doom for Houston.

That wasn’t clear right away, though. When Cease returned to the mound for the second, he was not nearly as sharp as he looked in the first. Two consecutive walks to start the frame prompted a mound visit from pitching coach Ethan Katz, followed by the white-hot Kyle Tucker opening his hips and turning on a mph fastball on the inner third of the plate, sending it flying into the right-center gap for a two-run double. Tucker moved to third on a Yuli Gurriel fly out, then rookie surprise Jake Meyers ripped a hotshot single past Yoán Moncada to score him, chasing Cease in the process. It was the shortest start of his career.

For a moment, it looked as though Garcia (who struck out the first two batters in the second) and White Sox reliever Michael Kopech would stabilize things and usher us into the middle innings. Instead, all hell broke loose for the next hour and a half. After a Houston runner was put on via a deflected infield hit in the third, Tucker ambushed a first-pitch fastball and homered the opposite way, pushing the Houston lead to four runs and making him 4-for with two homers in this series.

In the bottom of the third, Luis Robert fought back from an 0–2 hole to draw a leadoff walk against Garcia. Two batters later, Grandal crushed another one, this time in fair territory, for a two-run shot to pull Chicago within two, prompting a mound visit and action in the Astros&#; bullpen. A pair of two-out singles and two errant pitches to White Sox utility man Leury García brought Dusty Baker out of the dugout to remove his starter in the middle of the at-bat in favor of righty reliever Yimi García. But his third pitch was a piped mph fastball that was deposited feet away to dead center field, the longest homer of Leury&#;s career, to cap a five-run White Sox eruption in the third and give them a 6–5 lead.

Again, Houston fought back. After two punchouts to start the inning, Kopech gave the Astros oxygen with a two-out walk to Jose Altuve. He fell behind the next two hitters (Michael Brantley and Bregman), who each jumped on pitches, notching back-to-back singles that plated Altuve and tied the game.

The game entered the Twilight Zone in the bottom of the fourth. The top of Chicago&#;s order managed three consecutive singles off of Yimi García, plating a run and setting the table for Grandal, who had runners on the corners with no outs. His opponent: potential future Hall of Famer and former Dodgers teammate Zack Greinke, now on in relief. The switch-hitting catcher sent a firm grounder toward Gurriel at first base, who charged it and looked to go home to try to nab Robert attempting to score. But Grandal instantly went so far inside the foul line that he was running on the grass rather than the dirt surrounding it, blocking Gurriel’s throwing lane to the plate. A “subtle” extension of his elbow deflected the toss wide of catcher Martin Maldonado, and Robert scored.

Not only did the run score, but Gurriel’s decision to throw home rather than go to a different base also meant that, after the dust settled, the White Sox still had nobody out and a couple runners on. Five more Chicago hitters came to the plate in the frame, helping to scratch another crooked number onto the scoreboard and creating a deficit that would prove insurmountable for Houston.

White Sox deadline acquisition Ryan Tepera came in and stabilized the entire game, working two perfect innings. He, fellow former Cub Craig Kimbrel, lefty Aaron Bummer, and Liam Hendriks combined to work five perfect innings, striking out nine Astros (Houston had MLB’s lowest strikeout rate during the regular season) without allowing a baserunner. The three insurance runs Chicago tacked on late in the game are a notable formality because they came off of Houston’s only relief lefty, Brooks Raley, who appeared particularly vulnerable to the pieces on Chicago’s bench.

The Astros will send year-old Mexican righty José Urquidy to the mound to try to finish the series; a changeup artist, he has dramatic reverse splits that might prompt Tony La Russa to fill his lineup with more righties than usual. The White Sox will call upon All-Star lefty Carlos Rodón, who dealt with a second-half shoulder injury and has exhibited a drop in velocity, to stave off elimination once more. Rodon has a tendency to work inefficiently, so it’s likely we see a good bit of Chicago&#;s bullpen again on Monday; Bummer, Tepera, Kimbrel and Hendriks have all thrown two of the last three days, but they should all be available, as should everyone for the Astros.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

Surprise, Surprise: José Abreu and the White Sox Stay Together

Yesterday, the White Sox did something they haven’t done before. They signed Yasmani Grandal to the largest contract in team history, and I’m a huge fan of that move. Today, they did something they have done before &#; commit to José Abreu. He signed a three-year, $50 million contract extension replacing the qualifying offer he had accepted, which will keep him with the team through

If you’re determined to see this deal through a cold, analytical lens, you might wonder whether it makes sense. $50 million is a lot for a first baseman, after all, and it’s particularly a lot for a first baseman who finished 14th in WAR at the position in and who will be 35 by the end of the extension.

If you’re feeling uncharitable, you might impugn Chicago’s process. Abreu was an All Star, received MVP votes, and led the AL in RBI. In a previous era, no one would question this deal (assuming the money were era-adjusted). It’s tempting to say that the Sox are stuck in the past, the front office equivalent of a Hall of Fame ballot blank save for Jeter &#; that signing Grandal was a rare moment of timeliness from a broken clock.

But to me, that’s a poor reading of this story. José Abreu and the White Sox aren’t a random player and team. Their relationship is complex, and painting this as solely a pay-for-production decision simply doesn’t capture the totality of what this deal means. From a pure numbers standpoint, the deal may not stand up &#; but that’s not what this contract is all about.

Abreu signed with the White Sox in after defecting from Cuba. He was an established star in the Serie Nacional; a league MVP who shared the island’s single-season home run record. The six year, $68 million contract he signed wasn’t that of an intriguing prospect, but a sure thing; it remains the second-largest contract given out to a Cuban player immediately after their defection, narrowly behind Rusney Castillo’s ill-fated seven-year pact with Boston.

He was a lynchpin of the team from the first day he appeared in the majors. He missed time in due to injury, but he has cracked PA in every other season, with a batting line at least 15% better than league average every year. He’s been the 26th-best hitter in the majors over that time frame, and exactly three players have more plate appearances with a better batting line: Anthony Rizzo, José Altuve, and Paul Goldschmidt.

Just as importantly, Abreu has been a strong mentor to younger Cuban players on the White Sox. When Yoán Moncada joined the big league team, Abreu literally picked him up from the airport. They were both born in Cienfuegos and had known each other since childhood. Abreu helped Moncada adjust to the big leagues, and Moncada raved about his wisdom.

When the team signed Luis Robert, he cited the team’s strong Cuban tradition and the comfort of working with Abreu as key factors in his decision to sign with them. Abreu didn’t disappoint, working with Robert in spring training and generally making him more comfortable with a difficult transition.

Eloy Jiménez, another young slugger, had this to say: “For me, it’s been like a father. He gives me advice, he always tries to help me. And when you find people like that, you don’t know how to explain how great of people they are.” Lucas Giolito sang the same tune: “He can make everyone feel at home because he’s been around the organization for a long, long time. He’s super positive. … I’ve never seen him get like super mad or overthink anything. He keeps it very, very simple. And I think that’s very good for our team.”

To hear the players tell it, Abreu is the beating heart of this team. And while it would be foolish to take testimonials from friends as a quantitative measure of value, it would be equally foolish to assume that these soft skills hold no value whatsoever. Abreu has been the clubhouse leader and elder statesman for the bumper crop of young White Sox players, putting up face-of-the-franchise numbers during the lean years of non-contention. Now he’ll be there as the team presumably takes a step forward over the next few years.

Of course, just because this extension wasn’t solely focused on Abreu’s on-field contributions doesn’t mean we can’t consider that side of it. And there, the picture is decidedly cloudy. The White Sox have a place to put Abreu now, but their farm system is awash with players who profile as 1B/DH types, and some of them will be knocking on the door of the majors soon.

Jimenez plays left field, but it’s not hard to imagine a world where he’s an everyday DH who occasionally dons a glove. Grandal figures to receive playing time at first and DH to save wear on his knees and give playing time to James McCann. Andrew Vaughn, their first-round draft pick, is a polished college first baseman who tore through three levels of the minors in Zack Collins, who can theoretically catch but is likely headed for first, mashed in Triple-A and is probably ready for the majors.

That doesn’t mean the signing makes no baseball sense, though. Abreu is no slouch with the bat. Steamer projects him for the third-best batting line on the team next year, behind only Jiménez and Grandal. It would be asinine to suggest that he doesn’t make the team better today, even if you’re the most devout prospect hound on earth.

In fact, Abreu’s looked better under the surface than it did if you only look at his wRC+. He posted the highest hard-hit rate of his career, and he barreled up batted balls at the best rate since , the year Statcast data starts. If you’re a believer in xwOBA, he’s been metronomically consistent since

Abreu&#;s Production Over Time

YearwOBAxwOBA

He’s also done this despite never truly optimizing his batted ball mix. He’s always had groundball tendencies, even in his spectacular , and he pulled fewer fly balls and line drives than league average. It would be worth sacrificing elsewhere to tap into his pull-side power; he has produced a wOBA on pulled balls in the air in his career, against only on other air balls. Pull a few more flies, and he might ascend towards his former greatness.

It’s fair to be skeptical of these numbers. If he were going to suddenly become a dead pull hitter, he probably would have done it by now. Time wounds all heels, and Abreu can’t afford any wounds. If this decision came purely down to the maximization of on-field production relative to cost, it would be a strange one. And clearly, those factors matter. Abreu’s mentorship wouldn’t merit a $50 million contract if he were producing like Daniel Palka, who the team DFA’d to make room for Grandal.

But it’s good that baseball isn’t a monolith of surplus value. Abreu is important to the White Sox, and the team has made no secret of it. It won’t be easy to navigate the roster in upcoming years, and this extension doesn’t make it any easier. But in exchange, the team showed its players that it values the atmosphere Abreu helped create, that it thinks of its players as more than simply widgets.

This probably isn’t a move that will tip the team’s playoff odds decisively upward. But those moves can still happen &#; signing Grandal yesterday was one of those, and they’ve been linked to Zack Wheeler in early free agency discussions. This is a move that’s about a team and player who want to stay together. Abreu intimated as much this season, and now it’s happening. In an offseason full of sign-stealing and stadium closing, it’s good to see something else for a change.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

Colorado Rockies: making the case for acquiring Jose Abreu

CHICAGO, IL – SEPTEMBER Jose Abreu #79 of the Chicago White Sox beats the tag of Martin Maldonado #12 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim to score on an RBI double by Nicky Delmonico #30 (not pictured) during the fourth inning at Guaranteed Rate Field on September 27, in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jon Durr/Getty Images)

Defensively, Abreu is not particularly an excellent defender but he has improved his defense since his rookie season. In , he had Defensive Runs Saves, according to Baseball Reference. However, last season, he had zero Defensive Runs Saved, which is league average.

Also, according to Fangraphs, Abreu’s UZR (or Ultimate Zone Rating, which compares similarly hit balls to others to determine if a specific fielder is better or worse than their counterparts) was An even zero is considered to be league average so Abreu is just slightly above average on it.

Baserunning

While Abreu is not really a threat to steal bases (he has stolen six bases in his four year career and he didn’t steal any in either or ), he is not necessarily a bad baserunner.

Through mynewextsetup.us’s Statcast technology, they have a database of the sprint speeds of players. 23 feet per second is considered poor and 30 feet per second is considered to be elite with 27 feet per second being league average. Abreu averaged feet per second, or below league average. Essentially, Abreu is at league average.

For comparison of players currently on the Rockies, Nolan Arenado averages feet per second, or feet per second less than Abreu. DJ LeMahieu averages feet per second, or feet faster than Abreu. As you can see by these comparisons, Abreu is not a bad baserunner but he won’t necessarily be breaking world records.

Final Thoughts

Jose Abreu is an elite power hitter that would help fill a spot for the Rockies at first base and he would give the team a big power bat in the lineup. Also, he would not be a liability in the field defensively and he is not a bad baserunner.

He has two years left before he becomes a free agent so with that, it would take a decent amount of prospects to get him. I would guess that the White Sox would want four prospects and at least one of them would have to be the Rockies top five prospects. Also, it should be considered that Abreu has made between $10 and $13 million in the last two seasons. Being arbitration eligible and making that the past two seasons, I would venture to guess that he will make north of $15 million in

Next: The case for signing free agent JD Martinez

The Rockies can afford that but it’s just a matter of whether they want to stretch their payroll on one player.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

Here is one of my favorite clips of the season:

That&#;s Ronald Torreyes, attempting a delayed and perfunctory swing at a pitch-out to try to protect the running Aaron Hicks, who ends up in a heap on the ground after getting jarred in the marbles. Torreyes swings for no reason other than he&#;s always been told to swing in these situations, so the decision was entirely out of his hands. You can see that he&#;s temporarily overruled by his own brain, which properly identified that a swing would come with no upside. But then the training kicked in, and Torreyes whispered the bat in a vaguely forward direction while Hicks sprinted like the dickens, unaware the situation would end with teammates discussing his sterility.

Pretty obviously, no swing has been attempted this season at a more-outside pitch. Yet I don&#;t know if that should really &#;count,&#; since Torreyes didn&#;t swing because he wanted to. The swing was mandated by the hit-and-run play. So let&#;s take that off the table. Now the most-outside swing attempt of the season belongs to Jose Abreu, as of Thursday night. Abreu should probably be ashamed of himself.

Though I looked at everyone, the swings at the very most-outside pitches have been attempted by righties. Allow me to read off to you the top three:

  1. Ronald Torreyes, June 30, swinging pitch-out
  2. Jose Abreu, August 25, swinging strike
  3. Jose Iglesias, May 24, swinging pitch-out

The only worse swing was at a pitch-out. The next-worst swing was at a pitch-out. The next-worst swing at a non-pitch-out was at a pitch more than five inches closer to the plate. That swing was also with two strikes, attempted by Javier Baez. Baez will do that sometimes. So, evidently, will Abreu.

abreu-cishek

Exclaimed Mariners announcer Dave Sims, after Abreu&#;s strikeout with runners in scoring position:

Swing and a miss, he got him! What a big pitch.

It&#;s easy to get fooled on the fly. Strikeouts are strikeouts, and when the batter swings, that implies a pitch could have been only so bad. Abreu chased this slider from Steve Cishek; therefore, it must have been a good slider from Steve Cishek. Yet it&#;s not hard to see how that could have been a disastrous slider from Steve Cishek. You don&#;t want a pitch in that situation to get away. And Abreu had never before swung like this. I went to Baseball Savant. I plotted all of Abreu&#;s career swings. The swing above is highlighted below.

abreu-career-swings

I mean-

Eleven inches. The difference between that pitch and the next-most-outside pitch Abreu had chased is 11 inches. Nearly a whole damn foot. There&#;s really no excuse for that kind of swing. The easy explanation is &#;Abreu was trying to do too much,&#; but trying to do anything with that pitch is trying to do too much. It&#;s a brain fart. It has to be a brain fart. I don&#;t know what else it would be unless, as of Thursday night, in the seventh inning, Jose Abreu suddenly became, on camera, the single worst hitter in Major League Baseball.

By the way, the Baez swing? The one that&#;s the next-worst of the season?

baez-cishek

That swing was also against a Steve Cishek slider. It&#;s probably just a coincidence. But, maybe I&#;m the one who doesn&#;t get it.





Projecting Phillies Call-Up Jorge Alfaro

 

Ivan Nova Is Getting Happed

Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

Should Yuli Gurriel and José Abreu Be Hall of Famers?

Recently, my colleague Kevin Goldstein shared his experience of scouting José Abreu back in as a member of Houston&#;s front office. Kevin suggested that if Abreu had been able to play his entire career in the majors, I would be writing pieces about the slugger&#;s chances of reaching even bigger milestones. And since I probably would be, why not actually do that?

Abreu&#;s not the first player whose success in a foreign league and long enough career in MLB have compelled us to ask what if? Ichiro Suzuki is another such player, and in , I ran his NPB translations alongside his actual major league statistics. I&#;ve since added his final MLB numbers to this chart:

Ichiro Suzuki&#;s Career Numbers w/NPB Translations

YearBAOBPSLGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSB
9232140042123
623112013280
67226431233818
871771063415343
92187770366032
83237876393836
70285659283710
68213957284811
64172561344119
348869305356
278851686231
2981362366934
245860496336
21121568486633
209949497145
227668497737
207642516543
883141146327126
74303643458642
80223547396940
77286955226129
57153735266320
45132122216815
459156121315111
4895155122304210
19506032017351
590000370
5000000110

The translations bring him tantalizingly close to Ty Cobb and Pete Rose, giving us an even better understanding of his abilities over his full career. Joining the 4,hit club is cool and all, but Ichiro aged so well and continued to play for so long that you don&#;t really need his NPB career to give him a Cooperstown case. Abreu&#;s a different story. Unless he proves to be as amazingly durable as Ichiro did and cranks out another six or seven years of plus homers, he&#;s not going to hit the important thresholds for home run hitters when it comes to Hall voting. ZiPS projects a fairly normal decline path for a mids slugger:

ZiPS Projection &#; José Abreu

YearBAOBPSLGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSBOPS+DRWAR
7630128421-2
652712398361-3
54221177929196-4
3984151115520185-4
24559163412176-4

Eighty-nine additional homers (85 in those projections and four more in ) get Abreu to MLB home runs, and I don&#;t think that quite does it, leaving him in the mythical Hall of Very Good along with sluggers like Joe Adcock and Torii Hunter. But what if? We have Abreu&#;s stats from his time in Cuba and a history of players who have gone from Cuba to other professional leagues, so we can at least estimate what his performance would have looked like in the majors:

ZiPS Translations &#; José Abreu

YearABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBBAOBPSLG
2257503217771
16305131212670
439015383922831
33658262616640
356117093119581
4475171134215940
6189202195442671
5470110215137441
5888141225842551
4674110133834541
Totals107

Even with the Serie Nacional de Béisbol playing just over half the games per season as MLB when Abreu was playing there and some pretty steep adjustment factors, the translations still add another homers to the tally. While this is speculative, it feels right for Abreu, given that he basically played at the level of his final Cuban two-year average in the US. His projections at that point look like a typical Abreu season:

ZiPS Projection &#; José Abreu (Pre)

YearBAOBPSLGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBOPS+DRWAR
822112574572-1
792212572562-1
77221247056992-2
74211236753932-2
69191216250882-2
63181185647822-3
5799161155042731-3
5191141134437651-3
4483120113831561-4
3364807282240188-4

Abreu has actually been a little better than ZiPS expected, so it&#;s hard to say the translations overrate him. ZiPS had him at WAR through , which is pretty darned close to the he is at now (and ZiPS didn&#;t know about COVID in !):

José Abreu Career Numbers + Translations and Projections

YearGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBBAOBPSLG
712257503217771
3716305131212670
84439015383922831
8533658262616640
71356117093119581
814475171134215940
896189202195442671
665470110215137441
875888141225842551
774674110133834541
8035236513
8834330390
6732125470
9543633353
683612278372
8538133362
604376150196018590
8930233561
7630128421
652712398361
54221177929991
873984151115520701
5824559163412431

Combined, while I&#;m still not sure I&#;d vote for José Abreu for the Hall &#; his is a career that looks like Jim Rice&#;s, who also a very borderline candidate for me &#; it&#;s a case I&#;d have to seriously consider before not ticking the box next his name. With an excellent reputation both generally and for mentoring other Cuban players specifically, and with no suspensions for PEDs hanging over his head, I think this version of Abreu gets into the Hall of Fame.

Along those same lines, we talked a bit about Yuli Gurriel on our Twitch watch-along of last week&#;s Mariners-Astros game. Gurriel didn&#;t even get the advantage of playing his late 20s in the majors; Abreu was in his sixth season of MLB play at the same age Yuli debuted with the Astros. He&#;s proven to be amazingly resilient to the vagaries of aging, showing little indication of decline, and at 37, Gurriel is arguably having his best season in the majors, hitting // in games for WAR. ZiPS has regularly been low on his projection for the simple reason that the computer doesn&#;t understand why the fourth dimension doesn&#;t apply to him!

Given that we know he could play in MLB, and that he was already a legend in Cuba by the time he came to the US, it makes sense to give his Cuban numbers the same treatment. With his translations, ZiPS projects another hits from Gurriel, putting him at 1, hits starting at age

Yuli Gurriel Career Numbers + Translations and Projections

YearGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBBAOBPSLG
8939921935356455
874585152114133558
56326711462914345
9555124165321638
89368410363417321
885221093933319
794879111154431272
8458174155631318
8963131206036394
8754161144931232
8950921401549404610
79398214253228276
894786192114436438
754121970266814
54407017010352653
361334703155121
69431187522623
70331138523635
854023137655
274912162212270
81320168360681
62261146940561
4598191105028411
76327212163519291

Even with the huge hit in the numbers from a translation, Gurriel still ends up with just under 2, hits despite never getting to a play in a game season until he was in his 30s.

This kind of exercise brings up some philosophical issues with our conception of the Hall of Fame. We wouldn&#;t put Mark Prior in Cooperstown for projections, but projections and translations aren&#;t really the same thing. Translations just try to adjust for context, no different than park-adjusting or league-adjusting stats, even though the calculations are trickier. A career projection for Prior involves giving him credit for seasons he never played, but Abreu and Gurriel actually played those years of baseball; through little fault of their own, that play just happened to be in leagues that MLB does not consider to be major leagues.

But when you examine MLB&#;s history, what constitutes a major league is quite gray, especially in the early years. While we can say that today&#;s Triple-A leagues are not the majors, I&#;d argue that from a competitive standpoint, 19th-century baseball didn&#;t consist of major leagues either, a state of affairs even perhaps stretching into the s and &#;20s. The standard deviations of numbers for starters around the league didn&#;t start to resemble those of modern baseball until the mids (you expect more competitive leagues to have tighter spreads of ability than less competitive leagues do). And even if we say &#;No, the American League from and the National League before that are still major leagues,&#; MLB gives credit for stats from the Players League, the Union League, and the Federal League, all extremely uneven leagues, with the first two also being very unstable (as was the early American League).

If we have a good faith basis to believe that Yuli Gurriel and José Abreu didn&#;t suddenly become awesome baseball players the minute they were able to play in the US, why should the performances that pre-date their debuts here be summarily ignored when bestowing baseball&#;s highest honor? I&#;m not sure either Gurriel or Abreu have the career numbers to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, but let&#;s make sure we&#;re considering all the times they played this grand game. It&#;s messy to estimate what could have been, but just because answering a question is difficult doesn&#;t mean we shouldn&#;t try.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

Jose abreu fangraphs -

Here is one of my favorite clips of the season:

That&#;s Ronald Torreyes, attempting a delayed and perfunctory swing at a pitch-out to try to protect the running Aaron Hicks, who ends up in a heap on the ground after getting jarred in the marbles. Torreyes swings for no reason other than he&#;s always been told to swing in these situations, so the decision was entirely out of his hands. You can see that he&#;s temporarily overruled by his own brain, which properly identified that a swing would come with no upside. But then the training kicked in, and Torreyes whispered the bat in a vaguely forward direction while Hicks sprinted like the dickens, unaware the situation would end with teammates discussing his sterility.

Pretty obviously, no swing has been attempted this season at a more-outside pitch. Yet I don&#;t know if that should really &#;count,&#; since Torreyes didn&#;t swing because he wanted to. The swing was mandated by the hit-and-run play. So let&#;s take that off the table. Now the most-outside swing attempt of the season belongs to Jose Abreu, as of Thursday night. Abreu should probably be ashamed of himself.

Though I looked at everyone, the swings at the very most-outside pitches have been attempted by righties. Allow me to read off to you the top three:

  1. Ronald Torreyes, June 30, swinging pitch-out
  2. Jose Abreu, August 25, swinging strike
  3. Jose Iglesias, May 24, swinging pitch-out

The only worse swing was at a pitch-out. The next-worst swing was at a pitch-out. The next-worst swing at a non-pitch-out was at a pitch more than five inches closer to the plate. That swing was also with two strikes, attempted by Javier Baez. Baez will do that sometimes. So, evidently, will Abreu.

abreu-cishek

Exclaimed Mariners announcer Dave Sims, after Abreu&#;s strikeout with runners in scoring position:

Swing and a miss, he got him! What a big pitch.

It&#;s easy to get fooled on the fly. Strikeouts are strikeouts, and when the batter swings, that implies a pitch could have been only so bad. Abreu chased this slider from Steve Cishek; therefore, it must have been a good slider from Steve Cishek. Yet it&#;s not hard to see how that could have been a disastrous slider from Steve Cishek. You don&#;t want a pitch in that situation to get away. And Abreu had never before swung like this. I went to Baseball Savant. I plotted all of Abreu&#;s career swings. The swing above is highlighted below.

abreu-career-swings

I mean-

Eleven inches. The difference between that pitch and the next-most-outside pitch Abreu had chased is 11 inches. Nearly a whole damn foot. There&#;s really no excuse for that kind of swing. The easy explanation is &#;Abreu was trying to do too much,&#; but trying to do anything with that pitch is trying to do too much. It&#;s a brain fart. It has to be a brain fart. I don&#;t know what else it would be unless, as of Thursday night, in the seventh inning, Jose Abreu suddenly became, on camera, the single worst hitter in Major League Baseball.

By the way, the Baez swing? The one that&#;s the next-worst of the season?

baez-cishek

That swing was also against a Steve Cishek slider. It&#;s probably just a coincidence. But, maybe I&#;m the one who doesn&#;t get it.





Projecting Phillies Call-Up Jorge Alfaro

 

Ivan Nova Is Getting Happed

Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

andrew vaughn fangraphs

Andrew Clayton Vaughn (born April 3, ) is an American professional baseball first baseman for the Chicago White Sox of Major League Baseball (MLB). I think he will hit for average with some pop, … Kiley McDaniel (ESPN) – Andrew Vaughn #8 overall. 7Day Sign In. As mentioned John Rooney might have been a bit of a surprise as a third round selection but not to those around him, including himself. FanGraphs Membership. FanGraphs gives Vaughn a 65 future value rating for his hit tool and a 60 for his game power, on the scouting scale. Andrew Vaughn CHW 1B R Born: 04/03/ Age: 23 FanGraphs Player Page. 1B/OF FanGraphs Points Breaking news headlines about Los Angeles Angels linking to 1,s of websites from around the world FanGraphs Points Breaking the group down: there are three first round picks (Peterson, Benintendi, and Lewis and a fourth that is a lock to join them in (Vaughn). Positions: First Baseman, Relief Pitcher and Leftfielder Bats: Right • Throws: Right , lb (cm, 97kg) . Andrew Vaughn should join them soon and … Gift a Membership. Randy Arozarena posted a //, wRC+ line in 76 PA last year, then followed it up with a //, wRC+ postseason showing that was actually 10 PA longer. Still, with three clubs projected in the red and several more clustered around 1 to wins, the DH bats have swooned. Positions 1B . Andrew Vaughn. Eloy Jiménez, Luis Robert, Yoan Moncada, and Nick Madrigal are a few young hitters who have debuted over the last several years. The apparent plan is to try Vaughn in left field, a position that he believes he last played in a youth tournament seven years ago according to The Athletic’s James Fegan. % Interesting young guys like Andrew Vaughn and Ty France could outperform their modest projections, and Shohei Ohtani is his own wild card. The tide has shifted again at this pick and Vaughn now looks to be the favorite with Georgia prep SS C.J. Donate to FanGraphs. Keith Law (the Athletic) – Andrew Vaughn #10 overall. Donate to FanGraphs. OF, All Leagues All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ “This field is historic.” BOSTON — Rookie Andrew Vaughn would never … Vaughn’s belief that he could play third base or the outfield is supported by a note in the Fangraphs mock draft that Elias was present recently as Vaughn took grounders at third base. All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ White Sox box score for Sunday, April 11, with batting and pitching statistics Sign In. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Andrew Benintendi KCR OF L $7 Victor Robles WSN OF R $1 Andrew Vaughn CHW (A+) 1B R … For example, Andrew Vaughn is eight months removed from being the third pick in the draft and is one of a trio of elite position player prospects the White Sox have, but hasn't been talked about much this mynewextsetup.us may not last for long. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from mynewextsetup.us New FanGraphs Merch Pre-Orders Start Today! Vaughn played college baseball at California, and won the Golden Spikes Award in The Andrew Vaughn Scenarios If Detroit opts for Greene, then where does Vaughn, arguably one of the best college hitters of all time, fall? Andrew Vaughn batting game logs for Major League and Minor League baseball. Support FanGraphs. Andrew Vaughn career batting statistics for Major League, Minor League, and postseason baseball. Support FanGraphs. Positions 1B Projected Positions Util . Overall; Last 10; All Leagues Average $ Median $ SABR Points Average $ Median $ I tend to believe that, but we are talking about a guy that is approaching the top picks in Main Event drafts. Chicago Tribune - BOSTON — Chicago White Sox rookie Andrew Vaughn spent time with coach Daryl Boston a few hours before Saturday’s game against the Boston Red Sox to get familiar with the Green Monster at Fenway Park. Eric Longenhagen updated his top prospects in baseball over at FanGraphs on Wednesday. Arozarena is rightly the favorite to win this award; everyone else competing for it will be breaking into the majors, while he’s already starred in … Vaughn figured to be a fast-riser when the … by Handedness, June Amateur Draft - Round: 1, Pick: 3, Overall: 3, Team: Chicago White Sox. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. 30Day He made his MLB debut in Andrew Vaughn CHW (A+) 1B R Born: 04/03/ Age: 22 FanGraphs Player Page. Median $ % Games. but he was starting a fair amount over Andrew Vaughn so it would reason to think his demotion means Vaughn will play more. Games. White Sox – Andrew Vaughn, 1B, Cal In the event Vaughn/Bleday goes first and Witt goes at two, this is Rutschman’s floor, however unlikely that scenario is. Average $ Median $, Roster% Average $ Paul and Justin do a news and notes episode discussing the likes of Carlos Rodon, Corbin Burnes, Julian Merryweather, Andrew Vaughn, and more! Signed By WTF for $5. One projection certain to disappoint is that of Andrew Vaughn, a player who the White Sox are making noise about promoting aggressively this year. Andrew Vaughn is slated to join the White Sox young, star-studded lineup soon. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Andrew Vaughn Will Win Rookie of the Year If the first two predictions were mostly analytical — add up the playing time and look for weaknesses — this is more of a feel pick. While FanGraphs’ Longenhagen noted that Vaughn spent at the “unscoutable alternate site,” MLB Pipeline’s reports include his work at the alternate site, and they’re surmised by highlighting his, ability to thrive against advanced pitchers in Schaumburg. Vaughn took a few balls off the wall and took in some advice on how to play left field at the … by Retrosheet. Baseball statistics for Major League baseball and Minor League baseball with statistical analysis, graphs, and projections Signed By … Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. FanGraphs Membership. Dewees and Stafford were taken in the second and third rounds, respectively. Team: Chicago White Sox (majors) Born: April 3, in Santa Rosa, CA us Draft: Drafted by the Chicago White Sox in the 1st round (3rd) of the MLB June Amateur Draft from University of California, Berkeley (Berkeley, CA). Gift a Membership. Change 3. Updated: Sunday, April 18, AM ET, Park Factors Due to his recent long-term contract, Evan White also receives a bump, since it’s expected he will get a longer leash to make adjustments that many other prospects during their debut. Andrew Vaughn CHW 1B R Born: 04/03/ All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ Much like over at FanGraphs, MLB Pipeline has Vaughn graded as above-average to plus in the hitting, power, and overall areas. Ottobot Ep First Week Reactions

Atlanta Braves starter Max Fried ignored in mid-season MVP discussions

Max Fried of the Atlanta Braves. (Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images)

Braves News

Sure, it&#;s only been thirty games, but the Atlanta Braves have been riding on Max Fried&#;s arm.

It&#;s a tradition, I suppose:  the middle of the baseball season and people want to project MVP&#;s.  Except that there&#;s always some names missing, and the Atlanta Braves certainly have reason to gripe.

Now granted:  if your world view philosophy is that only hitters should win the MVP awards, then perhaps you should move on to the next column.  That tends to be the norm for this trophy, but it also clearly hasn&#;t been a hard-and-fast rule, either.

Naturally, ESPN is firmly in that camp regardless:

Tatis Jr., Harper, and Betts.  3 NL hitters.  As it happens, it&#;s arguable (and we&#;re gonna make the argument) that two of them don&#;t even belong on their ballot.

Let&#;s look at the current state of the stats, shall we?  Let&#;s start with the current MLB hitting leaders in WAR, according to Fangraphs:

For the record, Bryce Harper is well back at , admittedly with only 25 games played.  The others noted above all are at 30+, excepting Rendon&#;s

How about the pitchers, though?

Looks like Bieber should be in the thick of the conversation, eh?  But all we hear are crickets from ESPN on this.

There&#;s a catch, though:  fangraphs leans heavily on strikeout prowess for pitchers (and by extension, FIP &#; Fielding Independent Pitching) when calculating WAR&#; so let&#;s also check mynewextsetup.us, which considers things like&#; oh, Earned Runs allowed as being more important.

So in looking at Baseball-Reference&#;s numbers, here&#;s what you get (combining pitchers and hitters for sake of some brevity):

Big difference, eh?  But this gets to my long-standing argument that FIP ignores roughly 2/3rds of the game:  the batted ball and the quality of the stroke as the ball leaves the bat.

This is also why pitchers like Luis Castillo of the Reds have a fangraphs WAR despite a ERA.  He strikes out a bunch of hitters ( per 9), but he&#;s also on the season with an opponent&#;s batting average on balls in play (BABIP).  But I digress.

Thus Fried should be standing alone as he does in the B-R WAR rankings:  he&#;s tied with Bieber for best ERA (), has a higher ground ball percentage, and lower BABIP thanks to inducing hitters to make weak contact.

Yes:  I could argue some stats that Bieber has been better than Fried, but it&#;s really pointless as both pitchers should now be leading the discussion for MVP in their respective leagues.

Why Fried is the Mid-point NL MVP

So let&#;s concentrate on the NL side now and the very definition of &#;MVP&#;.  In other words, who has been most valuable to their team?

  • TATIS.  He&#;s got the strongest argument, since he&#;s arguably carrying the Padres:  hitting , OPSing over , a wRC+ of with 13 homers and 30 RBI (unwritten rules of grand slams aside).
    • His bWar is still well below Fried
    • His team is certainly helping on offense:  2nd in MLB in run-scoring and in OPS+
    • In other words, he&#;s very valuable, but take him out of the lineup and the Padres are still doing pretty well.
  • BETTS.  Likewise, the Dodgers don&#;t necessarily need him in this stacked lineup.
    • They&#;ve outscored the Padres by 9 and out-homered them, too.
    • Their run-differential is staggering
    • They also have the lowest team ERA in the majors&#; and it&#;s not that close.
    • Ergo, Betts is being Betts, but that&#;s just icing on the Dodger cake:  they would still be in first place without him.
  • YASTRZEMSKI.  Here&#;s an argument:  think the Giants would be in third without him?
    • 23rd in pitching ERA
    • Only 11th in Runs per game
    • Still, he has others in the lineup (Donovan Solano, Brandon Belt) hitting around him.
    • That&#;s pretty valuable, but not &#;first place&#; valuable.
  • HARPER.
    • The Phils are 4th in runs per game
    • Harper is hitting like a madman ( OPS), but is he even the MVP of his own team?
    • J.T. Realmuto has a OPS with more homers (9 to 7) and more RBI (25 to 20)&#; and he&#;s an everyday catcher.
  • STORY.
    • Eh, call me when the Rockies are relevant again.
  • deGrom?
    • Not a terrible choice, but Max Fried has out-pitched him ( ERA).

By contrast, can you imagine how bad things would be for the Atlanta Braves without Fried? 

While the rest of the Atlanta pitching staff (the rotation, at least) is being held together with duct tape and baling wire, he&#;s taken them all up on his shoulders and kept marching along.

Fried is making every start and giving up virtually nothing:  his worst outing was 2 earned runs against the Mets on the second day of the season.  Since then:  1 or none over six more starts.

The Braves have won all seven of those games:  39% of their 18 wins.

He&#;s been the rock that hasn&#;t moved while the landslide has continued around him.

So&#; pick a mid-season MVP if you want.  Pick hitters, pick pitchers&#; I don&#;t care.  The numbers and the results point to one guy&#; and he&#;s an Atlanta Brave.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us
Blue+White Ottoneu T-shirts, Positions Roster% % Change 7Day % Support FanGraphs. California Golden Bears junior Andrew Vaughn was named the Golden Spikes Award winner on June Andrew Vaughn (+)- Vaughn is rising with the hope that if he is not up by Opening Day, he will be up very soon. See below for the collectively overall prospects rankings for Andrew Vaughn across the major websites. Andrew Vaughn could be called upon to fill that designated hitter role or to spell MVP Jose Abreu at first base. Due to his recent college success, Andrew Vaughn is a player that gets a slight bump in the impact category this year. Median $, All Leagues Signed By Say-Hey Kid for $6. Four White Sox prospects were included: Luis Robert (No. Gift a Membership. Krizan was an eighth round pick by the Tigers in And Moses was a late round flier by the Braves in Donate to FanGraphs. Overall; Last 10; All Leagues Average $ Median $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ Prospect Rankings. FanGraphs Store. FanGraphs Store. mynewextsetup.us - “I mean, it’s amazing,” Vaughn said before playing his first game at Fenway Park. Average $ Median $ Andrew Vaughn CHW (A+) 1B R Born: 04/03/ Age: 22 FanGraphs Player Page. Eric Longenhagen (Fangraphs) – Andrew Vaughn #14 overall. Reported as the pre season number of waiver options remaining. Abrams fading, possibly far. FanGraphs Membership. Average $ Baseball Prospectus – Andrew Vaughn #14 overall %. Play-by-play data prior to was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Projected Positions This field is historic. ” BOSTON — Rookie Andrew Vaughn # 8 overall Major but he was starting a fair amount over Andrew Vaughn # 10 overall career batting statistics for Major and. Round pick by the Tigers in and the developer of the projection Info Solutions be called upon to fill that designated hitter role or spell. Sabr Points Average $ FanGraphs Points Average $ Median $ $ $. 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Источник: mynewextsetup.us

Should Yuli Gurriel and José Abreu Be Hall of Famers?

Recently, my colleague Kevin Goldstein shared his experience of scouting José Abreu back in as a member of Houston&#;s front office. Kevin suggested that if Abreu had been able to play his entire career in the majors, I would be writing pieces about the slugger&#;s chances of reaching even bigger milestones. And since I probably would be, why not actually do that?

Abreu&#;s not the first player whose success in a foreign league and long enough career in MLB have compelled us to ask what if? Ichiro Suzuki is another such player, and in , I ran his NPB translations alongside his actual major league statistics. I&#;ve since added his final MLB numbers to this chart:

Ichiro Suzuki&#;s Career Numbers w/NPB Translations

YearBAOBPSLGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSB
9232140042123
623112013280
67226431233818
871771063415343
92187770366032
83237876393836
70285659283710
68213957284811
64172561344119
348869305356
278851686231
2981362366934
245860496336
21121568486633
209949497145
227668497737
207642516543
883141146327126
74303643458642
80223547396940
77286955226129
57153735266320
45132122216815
459156121315111
4895155122304210
19506032017351
590000370
5000000110

The translations bring him tantalizingly close to Ty Cobb and Pete Rose, giving us an even better understanding of his abilities over his full career. Joining the 4,hit club is cool and all, but Ichiro aged so well and continued to play for so long that you don&#;t really need his NPB career to give him a Cooperstown case. Abreu&#;s a different story. Unless he proves to be as amazingly durable as Ichiro did and cranks out another six or seven years of plus homers, he&#;s not going to hit the important thresholds for home run hitters when it comes to Hall voting. ZiPS projects a fairly normal decline path for a mids slugger:

ZiPS Projection &#; José Abreu

YearBAOBPSLGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSBOPS+DRWAR
7630128421-2
652712398361-3
54221177929196-4
3984151115520185-4
24559163412176-4

Eighty-nine additional homers (85 in those projections and four more in ) get Abreu to MLB home runs, and I don&#;t think that quite does it, leaving him in the mythical Hall of Very Good along with sluggers like Joe Adcock and Torii Hunter. But what if? We have Abreu&#;s stats from his time in Cuba and a history of players who have gone from Cuba to other professional leagues, so we can at least estimate what his performance would have looked like in the majors:

ZiPS Translations &#; José Abreu

YearABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBBAOBPSLG
2257503217771
16305131212670
439015383922831
33658262616640
356117093119581
4475171134215940
6189202195442671
5470110215137441
5888141225842551
4674110133834541
Totals107

Even with the Serie Nacional de Béisbol playing just over half the games per season as MLB when Abreu was playing there and some pretty steep adjustment factors, the translations still add another homers to the tally. While this is speculative, it feels right for Abreu, given that he basically played at the level of his final Cuban two-year average in the US. His projections at that point look like a typical Abreu season:

ZiPS Projection &#; José Abreu (Pre)

YearBAOBPSLGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBOPS+DRWAR
822112574572-1
792212572562-1
77221247056992-2
74211236753932-2
69191216250882-2
63181185647822-3
5799161155042731-3
5191141134437651-3
4483120113831561-4
3364807282240188-4

Abreu has actually been a little better than ZiPS expected, so it&#;s hard to say the translations overrate him. ZiPS had him at WAR through , which is pretty darned close to the he is at now (and ZiPS didn&#;t know about COVID in !):

José Abreu Career Numbers + Translations and Projections

YearGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBBAOBPSLG
712257503217771
3716305131212670
84439015383922831
8533658262616640
71356117093119581
814475171134215940
896189202195442671
665470110215137441
875888141225842551
774674110133834541
8035236513
8834330390
6732125470
9543633353
683612278372
8538133362
604376150196018590
8930233561
7630128421
652712398361
54221177929991
873984151115520701
5824559163412431

Combined, while I&#;m still not sure I&#;d vote for José Abreu for the Hall &#; his is a career that looks like Jim Rice&#;s, who also a very borderline candidate for me &#; it&#;s a case I&#;d have to seriously consider before not ticking the box next his name. With an excellent reputation both generally and for mentoring other Cuban players specifically, and with no suspensions for PEDs hanging over his head, I think this version of Abreu gets into the Hall of Fame.

Along those same lines, we talked a bit about Yuli Gurriel on our Twitch watch-along of last week&#;s Mariners-Astros game. Gurriel didn&#;t even get the advantage of playing his late 20s in the majors; Abreu was in his sixth season of MLB play at the same age Yuli debuted with the Astros. He&#;s proven to be amazingly resilient to the vagaries of aging, showing little indication of decline, and at 37, Gurriel is arguably having his best season in the majors, hitting // in games for WAR. ZiPS has regularly been low on his projection for the simple reason that the computer doesn&#;t understand why the fourth dimension doesn&#;t apply to him!

Given that we know he could play in MLB, and that he was already a legend in Cuba by the time he came to the US, it makes sense to give his Cuban numbers the same treatment. With his translations, ZiPS projects another hits from Gurriel, putting him at 1, hits starting at age

Yuli Gurriel Career Numbers + Translations and Projections

YearGABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBBAOBPSLG
8939921935356455
874585152114133558
56326711462914345
9555124165321638
89368410363417321
885221093933319
794879111154431272
8458174155631318
8963131206036394
8754161144931232
8950921401549404610
79398214253228276
894786192114436438
754121970266814
54407017010352653
361334703155121
69431187522623
70331138523635
854023137655
274912162212270
81320168360681
62261146940561
4598191105028411
76327212163519291

Even with the huge hit in the numbers from a translation, Gurriel still ends up with just under 2, hits despite never getting to a play in a game season until he was in his 30s.

This kind of exercise brings up some philosophical issues with our conception of the Hall of Fame. We wouldn&#;t put Mark Prior in Cooperstown for projections, but projections and translations aren&#;t really the same thing. Translations just try to adjust for context, no different than park-adjusting or league-adjusting stats, even though the calculations are trickier. A career projection for Prior involves giving him credit for seasons he never played, but Abreu and Gurriel actually played those years of baseball; through little fault of their own, that play just happened to be in leagues that MLB does not consider to be major leagues.

But when you examine MLB&#;s history, what constitutes a major league is quite gray, especially in the early years. While we can say that today&#;s Triple-A leagues are not the majors, I&#;d argue that from a competitive standpoint, 19th-century baseball didn&#;t consist of major leagues either, a state of affairs even perhaps stretching into the s and &#;20s. The standard deviations of numbers for starters around the league didn&#;t start to resemble those of modern baseball until the mids (you expect more competitive leagues to have tighter spreads of ability than less competitive leagues do). And even if we say &#;No, the American League from and the National League before that are still major leagues,&#; MLB gives credit for stats from the Players League, the Union League, and the Federal League, all extremely uneven leagues, with the first two also being very unstable (as was the early American League).

If we have a good faith basis to believe that Yuli Gurriel and José Abreu didn&#;t suddenly become awesome baseball players the minute they were able to play in the US, why should the performances that pre-date their debuts here be summarily ignored when bestowing baseball&#;s highest honor? I&#;m not sure either Gurriel or Abreu have the career numbers to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, but let&#;s make sure we&#;re considering all the times they played this grand game. It&#;s messy to estimate what could have been, but just because answering a question is difficult doesn&#;t mean we shouldn&#;t try.

Источник: mynewextsetup.us

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